Absentee vote projections for BC election 2017

Update: Elections BC has revised the results for Coquitlam-Burke Mountain citing a “transposition error”. The projects have been updated to reflect this change.

Here’s my attempt to project absentee vote projections for the cliffhanger ridings from last night.


BC Election final results 2013

BC Election preliminary results 2017


First, I calculated the absentee vote as a percentage of preliminary (non-absentee) votes.

Coquitlam-Burke Mountain – 2013
Douglas Horne Chris Wilson
Prelim subtotal 8,868 6,420
s. 98 Special 24 36
s. 99 Absentee – in ED 482 439
s. 100 Absentee – out of ED 176 209
s. 101 Absentee – advance 41 53
s. 104 Voting in DEO office 149 143
s. 106 Voting by mail 26 15
Absentee subtotal 898 895
absentee as % of prelim 10.13% 13.94%

I then used that as a proxy to calculate the absentee ballots for 2017, and thus obtain the projected grand total.

Prelim 2017 Absentee as %

of prelim 2013

Projected Total 2017
Electoral District LIB NDP LIB NDP LIB NDP
Coquitlam-Burke Mountain 9,514 9,344 10.13% 13.94% 10,551 10,611
Courtenay-Comox* 10,049 10,058 11.16% 13.21% 11,171 11,386
Maple Ridge-Mission 9,723 9,843 9.77% 9.95% 10,673 10,822

According to my projections,  Coquitlam-Burke Mountain will flip from Liberal to NDP, and NDP will hold onto Courtenay-Comox and Maple Ridge-Mission with increased margins.

This will make it a 42-42 tie, with Andrew Weaver’s Green’s emerging as the ultimate kingmaker.

Courtenay-Comox is a new riding, but it is not too different to Comox Valley, so I used number for Comox Valley to project the outcome for Courtenay-Comox. Another factor to note here is that the BC Liberal Jim Benninger used to be the base commander of CFB Comox. As a result, this is the riding I’m least confident about in projecting.

I didn’t try to forecast the outcome for Richmond-Queensborough absentee count because it is a brand new riding.

[Photo Credit: Dane Low]

Telus apologized, but we’ll keep fighting for the sake of other victims

This morning I received a phone call and an email from Telus apologizing for their little unreturned equipment scam.

Hey Rohana,

As per phone conversation today, I am sending a confirmation email to advise that the equipment charges have been credited back and the account balance is now cleared. Sorry for any inconvenience that this may have cause, I do apologize that this was not able to be rectified earlier.

Thank you,

While my wife and I are relieved to learn that our ordeal might be coming to an end, this is not the end of effort to stamp out this scam. Over the past few days, we have talked to dozens of other Canadians who have fallen victim to this deceptive and fraudulent tactic by Telus. We’ve decided to keep on fighting until Telus apologizes to every single Canadian whom the company has harassed, threatened and ruined the credit of, and takes actions to make those victims whole again.

This is our intended course of action:

  • Report Telus to the Canadian Anti-Fraud Centre (CAFC)
  • Engage consumer protection agencies of Alberta and BC to identify strategies to protect consumers from the unreturned equipment scam
  • Engage the federal Department of Innovation, Science and Economic Development, whose minister is the minister responsible for the Telecommunications Act, to find ways to strengthen the regulatory framework to protect consumers from the unreturned equipment scam
  • Please get in touch with us with your stories, ideas, comments, and criticisms.

    We wish to thank all of you who supported us and offered us words of encouragement.

    Telus threatening scores of customers with bogus claims of “unreturned equipment”

    After Telus threatened and harassed my wife and me over a bogus claim that we had not returned all the equipment we rented from them, we did some digging and found out that scores of other customers have fallen victim to the same tactic by Telus. We will be reporting Telus to the The Canadian Anti- Fraud Centre, as the company’s actions have all the hallmarks of an organized scam. March is fraud prevention month, after all.

    If you, too, have been threatened or harassed by Telus, please let us know, or, report Telus to the CAFC directly.

    Telus threatening to take us to collections over equipment we never rented from them

    Telus is threatening to take my wife and me to collections for equipment we never rented from them, even after we repeatedly sent them receipts to show that we purchased the equipment outright.

    The harassment has been going on since July of last year. We finally sent them a demand letter below:

    TELUS Corporation
    510 W. Georgia St., 23rd floor
    Vancouver, BC V6B 0M3

    March 7th, 2017

    Dear Sir or Madam,

    Re: TELUS Account Number: *******

    You entered into an agreement with us to provide Internet and TV services on or about April 12, 2015.

    We terminated the agreement as per terms of the agreement on or about July 22, 2016. We returned the equipment we rented from you, but kept the Telus Optik bow which we purchased ourselves, and clearly explained to the customer service representative (CSR) that the Telus Optik was owned outright by us and provided a receipt to prove our ownership.

    In an undated sent to us in early December 2016, you asked to return the Telus Optik box which we had already told you once was ours, or face a $150 charge. After spending close to an hour on the phone, we once again explained our situation, and your CSR agree to make a note and close our account for good.

    About two weeks later, you sent us an email once again asking us to return the Telus Optik box. After spending close to an hour on the phone, we once again explained our situation, and your CSR agree to make a note and close our account for good.

    Today we received letter dated March 03, 2017 threatening to take us to a “Collection Agency” (sic) if we failed to pay an undisclosed amount owing. After spending close to an hour on the phone, we were first transferred to a call center first in Guatemala, then in the Philippines, who indicated that they were unable to help us.
    We were finally transferred to a manager, who only wished to be identified as “Josh”, who told us that he would not be able to provide any assurances that the harassment will cease.

    In issuing a “NOTICE” demanding payment for something we do not owe, you have:
    1. Engaged in a “deceptive act or practice” as defined by s.4 the Business Practices and Consumer Protection Act (BCPA)
    2. Engaged in “unconscionable acts or practices” as defined by s.8 of the Business Practices and Consumer Protection Act of British Columbia
    3. Breached the contract between you and us
    4. Violated other provisions of BCPA relating to illegal debt collection

    Based on the above, the I hereby demand the following from you:
    1. Immediate cancellation of illicit charge of $168 charged to our account and written confirmation that we owe you no money
    2. Payment of $3,000 as compensation for breach of contract
    3. Payment of $2,000 as restitution for unjust enrichment
    4. Payment of $5,000 as compensation for damages suffered as a result of your “Unconscionable acts or practices”, “deceptive acts or practices” and harassment.

    Please ensure that I receive by Friday 7 April 2017 the following:
    1. A formal written confirmation that you have cancelled the illicit charge of $168 charged to our account and written confirmation that we owe you no money
    2. Payment of $10,000. Please make cheques payable to  “         ”.
    3. Personal Information Protection and Electronic Documents Act (PIPEDA) gives us the right to access their personal information held by businesses subject to this law. As such we are demanding that you provide us all private information you hold about us and all documentation relating to access of our private information by parties located outside Canada.

    Please note that if I have to commence legal proceedings in order to require your performance of the above actions, this letter will be tendered in court as evidence of your failure to attempt to resolve this matter. Further, you may be liable for any court costs, attorney fees and damages, including punitive damages.

    You might want to contact a lawyer to discuss your legal rights and responsibilities.

    Yours sincerely,

    Screening myself for Canadian values

    The Hon. Dr. K. Kellie Leitch, P.C., O.Ont., M.D., M.B.A., F.R.C.S.(C)
    House of Commons
    Ottawa, Ontario K1A 0A6


    March 07, 2016


    Screening immigrants for Canadian values


    The greatest regret of my life is that, as an immigrant already here in Canada, I will not be able to prove myself worthy of being a Canadian by being subjected to the screening process proposed by you to ensure that I uphold and adhere to Canadian values. Thus, I have decided to screen myself on my own initiative, and, using as a benchmark values you, a paragon of Canadianness, have demonstrated throughout your long and illustrious political career.


    Question Kellie Leitch Rohana Rezel
    Do you belong to an organization that has criminally rigged every election it has taken part in? YES1 NO
    Have you defended the temporary foreign worker program even as Canadians were being thrown out of work? YES2 NO
    Have you ever encouraged neighbours to spy on and denounce each other to the government? YES3 NO


    Given my abject failure on the first three Canadian values that you hold dear, I shall test myself no further. I sincerely apologize for deciding to come to Canada without understanding what it means to be a Canadian.


    I will go and get myself deported now.


    Yours faithfully,


    Rohana Rezel




    1. 2006 “In-and-out” scandal

    2008 Del Mastro scandal

    2011 Robofraud Scandal

    2015 Bal Gosal vandalism scandal


    1. As RBC was replacing Canadian workers with Temporary Foreign Workers, Kellie Leitch defended the TFW program


    1. Conservatives pledge funds, tip line to combat ‘barbaric cultural practices’



    Definition of leitch

    leitch /lēCH/ v. Divide people along racial or religious lines by whipping up fear and hatred, often through the use of propaganda and misinformation, in order to gain or remain in political power.

    Adolf Hitler became the Chancellor of Germany in 1933 by leitching. Donald Trump leitched his way to the White House in 2016.

    leitch /lēCH/ n. A person who engages in leitching.

    Chris Alexander was called out as a leitch for insinuating that Canadian women who wear niqabs may be terrorists.

    beleitch /bəlēCH/ v. to completely believe in all propaganda and misinformation propagated by the leitches, without any proof being offered, often due to the inability to think critically

    Many Trump supporters beleitched that Obama was planning to take away their guns and declare Sharia law.

    beleitcher /bə’lēCHər/ n. A person who beleitches

    The beleitchers at The Rebel rally greeted Kelly Leitch with Nazi salutes.

    unleitch /un’lēCH/ v. Uniting people divided by the leitches by proving, through the use of facts, logic and reasoning, that assertions made by the letiches and beleitchers are false.

    Canadians lauded Calgary mayor Naheed Nenshi for his efforts to unleitch Canada in the run up to the 2015 election as Harper’s leitching lead to racially motivated attacks against minorities.

    Fighting Impark’s illegal parking ticket


    Impark gave me a parking ticket a good five minutes after I had paid for my parking yesterday. I’m demanding $5000 as compensation for breach of contract, damages for “unconscionable acts or practices” as defined by s.8 of the Business Practices and Consumer Protection Act of British Columbia, and restitution for unjust enrichment, and a refund of the $2 I paid for parking.

    And shame on T&T Supermarket for asking me for the $2 parking refund back to release me my parking receipt.


    Imperial Parking Canada Corporation

    601 W Cordova Street, Suite 300

    Vancouver, BC V6B 1G1

    December 14th, 2016

    Dear Sir or Madam,

    1. On 13 December 2016, I received a “NOTICE” numbered 01E344417 (Exhibit A) from you demanding $80 as payment for “Restricted Lot” “Stall Not Paid”. The time of the ticket is indicated as 18:30
    2. My car was legally parked in the “T&T Parking” area and I paid for one hour of parking at 18:25 (Exhibit B).
    3. I shopped at the T&T Supermarket until 18:57, and found the “NOTICE” at or around 19:00 (Exhibit C). N.B. While the Exhibit C indicates that I received a $2 refund for parking, I had to return to T&T Supermarket and forfeit the refund in order to obtain my parking receipt, which they had taken from me in exchange for the refund (Exhibit D).

    In issuing a “NOTICE” demanding payment after I had parked legally and paid for my ticket, you have:

    1. Breached the contract that was formed when I parked my car at your parking lot and paid for the parking
    2. Benefitted from unjust enrichment
    3. Engaged in “unconscionable acts or practices” as defined by s.8 of the Business Practices and Consumer Protection Act of British Columbia.

    Based on the above, the I hereby demand the following from you:

    1. Immediate cancellation the “NOTICE” numbered 01E344417
    2. A refund of the $2 charged.
    3. Payment of $2,500 as compensation for breach of contract
    4. Payment of $2,000 as restitution for unjust enrichment
    5. Payment of $500 as compensation for damages suffered as a result of your  “Unconscionable acts or practices”

    Please ensure that I receive by Friday 22 December 2016 the following:

    1. A formal written confirmation that you have cancelled the “NOTICE” numbered 01E344417
    2. Payment of $5,002. Please make cheques payable to “Rohana Rezel”.

    Please note that if I have to commence legal proceedings in order to require your performance of the above actions, this letter will be tendered in court as evidence of your failure to attempt to resolve this matter. Further, you may be liable for any court costs, attorney fees and damages, including punitive damages.

    You might want to contact a lawyer to discuss your legal rights and responsibilities.

    Yours sincerely,

    Rohana Rezel

    RCMP must charge former PM Harper and Harper’s PMO over Duffy scandal

    April 21st, 2016

    Commissioner Bob Paulson

    RCMP National Headquarters
    Headquarters Building
    73 Leikin Drive
    Ottawa ON K1A 0R2

    Charge Former PM Harper and Harper’s PMO over Duffy Scandal

    Dear Sir,

    Justice Charles H. Vaillancourt verdict today on the Duffy trial is loud and clear:  Former Prime Minister Stephen Harper, Nigel Wright and Mr. Harper’s PMO are the real guilty ones. I refer to the following sections from the official verdict[1]:

    [1090] The only ones having an elevated corrupt purpose here were the conspiring members of the — 265 — PMO and their Senate leadership collaborators who acted out, and coerced onto Senator Duffy, a political damage control “scenario” to protect the Prime Minister and his government from political scandal.

    [1110] The PMO were also very active working behind the scenes to get all their ducks in a row. They attempted to get the Conservative Party of Canada to provide the funds for the repayment. When that failed, Nigel Wright stepped up and provided the funding out of his own pocket. He explained that the $90,000.00 payment did not impact his bottom line. It seemed that this sum was a mere bagatelle. Mr. Wright certainly did not view his financial contribution and payment as untoward behaviour. He took the position that he had made an agreement with Senator Duffy and he was determined to see that his political solution to the “Duffy Problem” came to pass. I think it is fair to say that the only expectation on the part of Mr. Wright was that a nasty political thorn would be removed from the body politic.

    [1237] I do not find that Senator Duffy was trying to thwart or avoid cooperating with the third party auditors. I do find that Senator Duffy was more than willing to meet with Deloitte and explain his position. I find that the PMO did not want this to happen and they endeavoured to prevent such contact.

    [1239] Mr. Neubauer stated that Senator Duffy’s actions were driven by deceit, manipulations and carried out in a clandestine manner representing a serious and marked standard expected of a person in Senator Duffy’s position of trust. I find that if one were to substitute the PMO, Nigel Wright and others for Senator Duffy in the aforementioned sentence that you would have a more accurate statement.

    The motto of your force is “Defending the Law”. I implore you to defend the law by charging the Mr. Harper, Mr. Wright and the rest of Mr. Harper’s PMO for bribing Mr. Duffy and thwarting and independent audit as means of covering up the PMO’s deceit, manipulation and clandestine operations.

    Yours faithfully,

    Rohana Rezel

    CC: Rt. Hon. Justin Trudeau, Prime Minister

    Hon. Rona Ambrose, Leader of the Official Opposition

    [1] http://www.ontariocourts.ca/en/apr21duffy.pdf

    TPP: Submission to the House of Commons Standing Committee on International Trade


    When the Canadian doctor Sir Frederick Banting discovered insulin in 1920, which continues to help millions afflicted with diabetes to thrive, he turned down offers from big corporations that would have made him a billionaire. Calling insulin a gift to humankind, he gave the patent away to researchers to make sure that it would affordable to everyone.

    Instead of being inspired by the likes of Dr. Banting, Trans-Pacific Partnership(TPP) agreement tears a leaf out of Martin Shkreli’s playbook making generic medicines used to treat a wide variety of diseases, including tuberculosis, malaria and HIV/AIDS, unaffordable to millions of people around the world, according to Doctors Without Borders (MSF)
    [1] and numerous intellectual property rights experts.

    Not only is the TPP bad for our health and well-being, it is bad our jobs, it is bad for our freedoms and it is bad for our environment. What do we gain in return? TPP will boost our economy at most by 0.28%, according to one study by the Tufts University[2].

    As I shall explain in this submission, the only “free” aspect of this so-called free trade agreement is the freedom it gives corporations to jack up the price of essential medicines, poison our food supply, pollute our rivers and oceans, ship our jobs overseas to places where workers toil away in sweatshop conditions making less than two dollars a day while importing cheap indentured labour, and severely restricting our intellectual freedoms.

    TPP is bad for our health

    Dr. Heather Culbert, President of MSF Canada, warns us that:

    Under the TPP, not only will pharmaceutical patents be expanded and extended, but international trade disputes will be addressed by third-party tribunals that lack either transparency or an appeals mechanism.  Many governments will feel they have no choice but to comply, even though most of their citizens will have no hope of accessing potentially life-saving medications[3].

    Canadians will not be immune to the increase in drug prices caused by the TPP, Dr. Culbert states:

    Canadians will also face extended patent provisions and increased costs for medications.  Pharmaceutical companies will not hesitate to protect their commercial  interests, as has already been demonstrated by a $500 million lawsuit by Eli-Lilly against the Canadian government (and taxpayers) for the rejection of two drug patents and for allowing competitors to enter the market. The TPP will put even more of this kind of leverage in the hands of pharmaceutical companies against the rights of governments.

    Analysis by the not-for-profit group Fight for the Future pin points to exactly which sections of the agreement will lead to this state of affairs[4]:

    Article 18.26: Term of Protection for Trademarks
    Increases the minimum protection for trademarks to 10 years, forcing countries to follow the U.S. model on this rather than make their own trademark policy based on the public interest. This will limit technological innovation and could curtail affordable access to medicines or other basic necessities.

    Article 18.37: Patentable Subject Matter
    Allows for the patenting of “new methods of using a known product,” which essentially allows for unlimited patents from Pharmaceutical companies and will block affordable access to medicines and medical procedures and prevent innovation of better and more affordable healthcare procedures.

    Higher drug prices will not be the only negative impact that the TPP will have on our health and well being. Award-winning Canadian microbiologist Dr. Shiv Chopra warns us that the TPP will see hormone-laced milk, which he fought so hard to keep out of our store shelves, being imported into Canada.

    Dr. Chopra, who became the first recipients of the Canadian Journalists for Free Expression Integrity Award, in recognition of their role as “individuals who acted courageously in the public interest without thought of personal gain, and in doing so risked reprisals in the form of threats to their careers, livelihood, or personal freedom,” states[5]:

    We worked upon it so much and got [bovine growth hormone] rejected in Canada… Now, under the trade agreement, it’s going to let the floodgates open.

    TPP is bad for our jobs

    The Trans-Pacific Partnership will cost Canada 58,000 jobs and increase income inequality, the Tufts study warns[6].  If that was not enough, the TPP will also allow corporations to bring unlimited number of temporary foreign workers, according to the Alberta Federation of Labour, who state[7]:

    The section of the deal on Canada Temporary Entry for Business Persons confirms fears that the deal allows foreign companies to bring in an unlimited number of temporary foreign workers in certain broad occupational categories without work permits, bypassing all certification requirements and rules to protect Canadian jobs. This will continue to distort the local labour market and to displace Canadians and to drive down wages.

    The AFL also expresses concern at the provisions of the TPP that will lead to  the harmonization of Canadian labour laws with those of countries with inferior labour standards. In the words of AFL’s president Gil McGowan:

    The ‘harmonization’ that this deal promises won’t improve labour laws anywhere. Whenever labour laws are ‘harmonized,’ it’s always part of a race to the bottom. Canadian labour laws should not be based on those of TPP signatories like Vietnam.

    TPP is bad for our environment

    The backers of the TPP claim that the agreement’s environment chapter proves that the deal was negotiated with environmental stewardship as a core value. Any safeguards offered in the environment chapter, however, are overridden by the Investor-state dispute settlement provisions of the TPP. The 2015 Bilcon v. Canada decision, where a US corporation successfully used the ISDS to overturn a Canadian government decision not to allow mining on environmental protection grounds, is still fresh in the minds of many Canadians. The ISDS provisions of the TPP are equally disturbing, and the Sierra Club explains how they constitute a bill of rights for polluters:

    For example, corporations including ExxonMobil, Chevron, and Occidental have used rules in the investment chapters of trade pacts and bilateral investment treaties to bring more than 600 investor-state cases against nearly 100 governments. More and more, these cases are directly challenging policies designed to protect our air, water, and climate including a moratorium on fracking in Quebec,a nuclear energy phase-out and new coal-fired power plant standards in Germany, and requirement for a pollution clean-up in Peru. And corporations are winning. In March 2015,  a NAFTA tribunal found that Canada violated NAFTA’s investment rules because of an environmental impact assessment that led Canada to reject a U.S. company’s controversial mining project from moving forward in an important cultural and ecological area in Nova Scotia. 

    TPP is bad for our intellectual freedoms

    The American Library Association defines intellectual freedom as:

    The right of every individual to both seek and receive information from all points of view without restriction. It provides for free access to all expressions of ideas through which any and all sides of a question, cause or movement may be explored[8].

    Intellectual freedom is what powers social progress, scientific discovery, technological advancement, and as a result of all of the above, improvements in our quality of life. It is the cornerstone of a free and democratic society.

    The TPP poses a great threat to intellectual freedom. In the words of the Electronic Frontier Foundation:

    The IP chapter would have extensive negative ramifications for users’ freedom of expression, right to privacy and due process, as well as hindering peoples’ abilities to innovate. Other chapters of the agreement encourage your personal data to be sent borders with limited protection for your privacy, and allow foreign corporations to sue countries for laws or regulations that promote the public interest[9].

    A very simple example of the insidious nature of this agreement is that under the TPP, even unlocking of a cell phone becomes a criminal offence, as highlighted Fight for the Future:

    Article 18.68: Technological Protection Measures
    This section attempts to make it a crime to circumvent any “Digital Rights Management” (DRM) locks on a device, even if you own it. It could criminalize people who unlock their phones in order to use accessibility software, for example, or make it illegal to circumvent DRM on a computer in order to use Linux.

    Conclusion & Recommendations

    The TPP is not a trade agreement. It is yet another blatant attempt by large multinational corporation to exert complete corporate control by undermining the will of the citizens. It will only benefit Martin Shkreli’s of the world while condemning millions to misery.

    I urge you to listen to the voices of concerned Canadians and reject the Trans-Pacific Partnership which puts corporate greed before citizens’ needs.

    [1] http://www.msfaccess.org/sites/default/files/IP_Brief_TPP_ENG_2015.pdf

    [2] http://www.ase.tufts.edu/gdae/policy_research/TPP_simulations.html

    [3] http://www.msf.ca/en/article/how-the-trans-pacific-partnership-trade-deal-will-put-essential-medicines-out-of-reach-for

    [4] http://tumblr.fightforthefuture.org/post/132605875893/final-tpp-text-confirms-worst-fears-shadowy

    [5] http://canadians.org/blog/dr-shiv-chopra-speaks-against-tpp-bgh-milk

    [6] http://www.ase.tufts.edu/gdae/policy_research/TPP_simulations.html

    [7] http://www.afl.org/tpp_erodes_labour_rights

    [8]  http://www.ala.org/advocacy/intfreedom/censorshipfirstamendmentissues/ifcensorshipqanda

    [9] https://www.eff.org/issues/tpp